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Understanding Financial Forecasts as an Ecommerce Seller

Financial forecasts are necessary to identify troubles and plan for the future. But what are they and how do you conduct projections for tomorrow?

Brody Hall
By Brody Hall
Joel Taylor
Edited by Joel Taylor

Updated February 10, 2023.

Financial forecasting is a critical component of running an ecommerce business—large or small.

The common measure in the corporate world consists of estimating how a company will perform in the future, be it in the second quarter in the second half of next year.

A financial forecast, which is put together by utilizing past performances and current conditions, is typically used in business valuation, budgeting, or capital budgeting.

Creating a Financial Forecast

Purpose

What exactly is the purpose of your financial forecast?

Is it to meet specific targets? Is it to garner more funding from investors? By defining the objective, you can ensure you will meet your goals.

Time Frame

Every financial forecast has a target date, whether the third quarter or a five-year outlook. This ties into the previous point of defining a purpose, so you should be able to have an outlined horizon.

Gather the Records

Financial forecasts are completed by combing through records, historical data, and financial statements. By pondering yesterday's documents, you can better calculate tomorrow's figures. As such, it is essential that you understand how to mitigate financial reporting issues.

Document

You do not need to wait until the end of your time frame to find out if your forecasts are accurate. Instead, you can home in on the results throughout the period by monitoring the data as it happens.

Method

Indeed, there are many methods and types of accounting software you can take advantage of to develop a financial forecast, but here are a few of the most popular strategies:

  • Straight Line A look at the company's growth rate, which has been constant and straightforward.
  • Moving Average The average performance of a particular area during a specified time span.
  • Correlation Listing correlating variables and monitoring their movement together.
  • Delphi Multiple members of the company compile and analyze data and information in order to answer questions. Each person has access to the same data but might have different projections.

Importance of Financial Forecasting

In the end, financial forecasting is critical to the company's success, whether it is because your business needs to access sufficient levels of capital or you want to improve your cash flow. While not every financial forecast will be 100% accurate, this strategy is useful in planning, identifying challenges, and learning solutions. With enough data, you can generally get a peek into the future and help your business grow and adapt.